Gammons: If Traded, Will Hamels Reap the Desired Return?

In an article posted on his website Friday, baseball reporter Peter Gammons talks about the aspects of trading Phillies pitcher Cole Hamels and what that would mean for teams who are interested.

Here are some of the main points to chew on:

  • Whoever trades for Hamels has to take on $100 million, or $120 million if you’re the Red Sox and one of the other 19 teams on Hamels’ no-trade list.
  • Not many teams can take on Hamels’ huge contract. If by chance they can, many aren’t willing to trade their top prospects. The Dodgers are a great example. They can take on the Hamels contract, but they will not trade Julio Arias, Corey Seager or Joc Pederson. The Red Sox have made it clear that in their quest to get Hamels, they won’t trade rising star Mookie Betts and highly touted catcher Blake Swihart, making the possibility of a trade less likely.
  • A trade with the Padres, that would likely include Wil Myers, could make sense. However, for a team that has failed to draw two million people since Petco Park opened, Gammons is skeptical if they could and should take on a $100 million contract for Myers and a young arm to make it work.
  • Gammons points out the nine trades involving “aces” since 1978 and that many didn’t pan out as hoped.
  • Do the Phillies fear the rebuilding process and don’t want to wait until 2017? If they aren’t interested in trading Hamels for top tier prospects and aren’t willing to wait for the timetables of Michael Brantley, Carlos Gomez or Chris Archer, then they “can hold onto one of the best pitchers in their history and hope for either 82 wins or a major breakdown in St. Louis, San Diego or Boston”.

Quinn Roberts

1 Comment

What’s this “if they aren’t willing to trade Hamels for top tier prospects” stuff? You just got done saying that other teams aren’t willing to give the Phils top tier prospects. So what do they have to gain by trading a top player for less than fair value when his contract still has years to run?

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